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Thread: GBP/USD: La oleada bajista post-Brexit vuelve a cobrar protagonismo

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  1. #21 Collapse post
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    El par GBP/USD podría encontrar la primera resistencia técnica en 1.2875 (18 de abril) a la espera de 1.2900 (nivel psicológico) y 1.2950 (3 de octubre).

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    A la baja, los soportes se podían ver en 1.2760 (21 de abril), 1.2700 (nivel psicológico) y 1.2615 (27 de marzo).

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    Sin embargo, el hecho de que el par EUR/GBP haya podido acumular las ganancias de ayer por la misma razón, ha estado limitando el impulso alcista en el par GBP/USD en medio de una fuerte correlación inversa.

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    El par GBP/USD se mantuvo por encima de los mínimos diarios durante la sesión americana a pesar de la fortaleza del dólar estadounidense. La recuperación del par en 1.2901 se coronó alrededor de 1.2950. Cerca del final del día, la libra estaba rondando alrededor de 1.2920/30, marginalmente más bajo hoy.

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    El tono intra-día favorece al dólar, pero en una perspectiva más amplia, el sesgo alcista del par permanece intacto. Mañana se reunirá el Comité de Política Monetaria del Banco de Inglaterra.

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    Su decisión y las actas de la reunión se darán a conocer el jueves, con el Informe de Inflación. En Estados Unidos, los comerciantes seguirán escuchando los discursos de los miembros del FOMC, antes de los datos de inflación (PPI del jueves e IPC del viernes).

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    Sin embargo, dado el tono de la conferencia de prensa de la presidenta de la Fed Janet Yellen, parece que la Fed está buscando de buen grado algunos de los datos de debilidad con el fin de "reabastecer sus herramientas de lucha contra la crisis". En cierto sentido, el FOMC se ha vuelto menos dependiente de los datos, en la medida en que la economía estadounidense no se desplaza hacia una recesión.

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    El par GBPUSD se movió en torno a la resistencia fuerte en la zona de 1.2973 porque el doble techo se fija en torno a 1.3047. En consecuencia, la resistencia fuerte ya se ha formado al nivel de 1.2973 y es probable que el par cotice en torno al nivel de 1.2973 y 1.2744. No obstante, si el par no logra atravesar el nivel de 1.3047, el mercado indicará una oportunidad bajista debajo del nuevo nivel de resistencia fuerte de 1.2973.

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    Las próximas sesiones, esperando para probar el nivel 1.2550 principalmente, recordándole que la celebración por debajo de 1.2720 y 1.2720 niveles representan condición clave para continuar la disminución esperada.
    *
    El rango de comercio esperado para hoy es entre 1.2550 de soporte y 1.2720 de resistencia.

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    Como el mayor constituyente del índice DXY, la fortaleza de Euro se ha traducido en debilidad DXY, que ahora ha borrado todas sus ganancias desde la reunión del 14 de junio FOMC.

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