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Thread: Analisis Tecnico GBP/USD

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  1. #571 Collapse post
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    También en el foco de esta semana sería un montón de datos macro importantes debido para la publicación al principio de un nuevo mes y de las encuestas BRITÁNICAS entrantes, que podrían contribuir a hacer esto una semana llena de acontecimientos para el par.

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    Niveles técnicos

    Cualquier movimiento ascendente más allá de la zona media de 1.2800 podría enfrentar resistencia cerca del nivel horizontal 1.2880 por encima de la cual el impulso podría extenderse hacia fuerte punto de ruptura de soporte 1.2900-1.2910, ahora se convirtió en importante resistencia.

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    Por otro lado, la debilidad por debajo del nivel 1.2820, que conduce a una ruptura subsiguiente por debajo de 1.2800, convertiría al par vulnerable a extender la caída incluso por debajo del soporte 1.2775-70 (viernes) y todo apunta hacia el soporte de prueba por debajo de 1.2700.

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    GBP/USD atento al nivel 1.2765

    El par GBP/USD cotiza en 1.2844, ganando un 0.32% más en el día, habiendo registrado un máximo diario de 1.2852 y un mínimo de 1.2800.

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    El par GBP/USD está actualmente está intentando recuperarse por encima de 1.2770, tratando de llegar al nivel 1.2800 al comienzo de esta semana. El tono más amplio persiste y el dólar ha estado fallando en abril y mayo hasta ahora en gran parte permitiendo que la libra se recupere mientras sube durante épocas de datos económicos positivos del Reino Unido.

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    Sin embargo, las encuestas en el Reino Unido han sido negativas con el ajuste de los conservadores a medida que la sólida campaña de los laboristas ayuda.

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    Para la semana que viene, será una ajustada agenda para el calendario de Estados Unidos y las nóminas no agrícolas al final de la semana podrían decidir el destino del dólar para el próximo período antes de la reunión del FOMC de junio.

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    La intención del FOMC de elevar las tasas en junio es clara y se refleja en los precios de mercado, pero el compromiso con cualquier pronóstico particular de dónde se dirigen las tasas es menos claro y parece secundario el deseo de alcanzar el objetivo de inflación del 2%.

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    Las lecturas técnicas intradiarias indican que el riesgo sigue siendo negativo, ya que la SMA de 20 bajan bruscamente por encima del nivel actual, ofreciendo una resistencia dinámica alrededor de 1.2895, mientras que los indicadores técnicos apenas han corregido las condiciones de sobreventa antes de perder la fuerza ascendente.

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    Una caída por debajo de 1.2800 debería confirmar las caídas adicionales antes para las próximas sesiones. "Una ruptura por debajo de 1.2765 probablemente agravará el movimiento a la baja, ya que el nivel es el más bajo desde que la primer ministra Theresa May anunció elecciones a mediados de abril.

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