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Thread: Analisis Tecnico GBP/USD

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    El producto interior bruto de Reino Unido preliminar ha subido un 0.3% en el primer trimestre del año, por debajo del 0.4% estimado y del 0.7% visto en el último trimestre del año pasado, mostrando el crecimiento con ritmo más bajo desde el primer trimestre de 2016.

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    Con el par operando ahora sobre 1.2945/50, un 0.42% por encima de su precio de apertura, los operadores esperarán ahora al dato más importante para el dólar, el PIB de Estados Unidos, que se conocerá a las 12.30 GMT.

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    La perspectiva a corto plazo para el par GBP/USD se mantiene neutral a alcista, según Karen Jones, jefa de análisis técnico en Commerzbank.

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    "La semana pasada la libra esterlina alcanzó la media móvil de 55 semanas en 1.2966, donde se está consolidando y también notamos la presencia de un TD perfeccionado en el gráfico diario, esto sugiere algo de cautela a corto plazo. Por ahora, sigue siendo ofrecido a corto plazo, mientras opere por encima del mínimo del 21 de abril en 1.2760.”

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    “Seguiremos siendo alcistas a mediano plazo, mientras que el par se mantenga por encima de la media móvil de 200 días en 1.2607. Alrededor de la zona de 1.3000 el par es probable que se quede sin vapor, sin embargo, al menos temporalmente".

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    "Por debajo de 1.2608 se dispararía un retroceso a 1.2515, el mínimo del 18 de abril y 1.2347, el mínimo de febrero".

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    La libra esterlina está registrando algunas ganancias el jueves, ahora llevando al GBP/USD a la región 1.2880 antes del PMI de servicios de Reino Unido.

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    GBP/USD atento al PMI y los datos

    El par está buscando consolidar la caída de ayer en la
    zona de 1.2860 después de una fuerte recuperación de la demanda del billete verde y un nuevo nerviosismo en un posible escenario de "Brexit duro", especialmente después de que los funcionarios de la UE quisieran prohibir a la Primera Ministra Theresa May negociar los términos de Brexit.

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    Por otro lado la reunión del FOMC dejó las tasas sin cambios como se esperaba, aunque parecía optimista con respecto a los mercados de trabajo de Estados Unidos y los fundamentos en general, dejando la puerta abierta para un alza de tasas en la reunión de junio.

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    En cuanto a los datos en el Reino Unido, el PMI de servicios siempre relevante se conocerá más tarde (54.5 esperado) junto con los préstamos personales netos del BoE, la masa monetaria M4, el crédito al consumo y las aprobaciones de hipotecas.

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